Model Portfolio
A mechanical example of sensible investing, funded like a paycheck: every two weeks the same contribution splits toward whatever sits furthest below target — 70% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ), 20% gold, 10% bitcoin. Nothing is ever sold; rebalancing happens by where the new money flows. No discretion, no timing, no stock picks. Every purchase is recorded in the ledger below when it happens and never rewritten.
There used to be a fourth sleeve here: 35% followed the picker consensus. We measured it against these three sleeves alone over the full 2020–present record — same dollars, same days — and the picks only subtracted. So they're gone, and that measurement is the point of this page: the pickers we track have all trailed the index too. Structure did the work; picks never did.
Holdings
| Asset | Target | Actual | Mark |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | 70.0% | 69.6% | $725.61 |
| GLD | 20.0% | 19.0% | $373.51 |
| BTC | 10.0% | 11.4% | $79,780.84 |
Performance
Event ledger (179)
Append-only. Every contribution and exit, recorded when it happened — never revised.
Event ledger (179)
Append-only. Every contribution and exit, recorded when it happened — never revised.
| Oct 28, 2026 | Contribution — GLD 62.3%, QQQ 37.7% | NAV 414.50 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Contribution — GLD 72.0%, QQQ 28.0% | NAV 427.04 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Contribution — GLD 70.6%, QQQ 29.4% | NAV 425.81 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 86.2%, GLD 13.8% | NAV 408.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 413.79 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 414.18 |
| Aug 05, 2026 | Contribution — BTC 78.0%, GLD 22.0% | NAV 409.08 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Contribution — GLD 57.8%, BTC 42.2% | NAV 400.69 |
| Jul 08, 2026 | Contribution — BTC 58.7%, GLD 41.3% | NAV 399.91 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Contribution — BTC 53.5%, GLD 46.5% | NAV 397.08 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Contribution — BTC 74.8%, GLD 25.2% | NAV 392.29 |
| May 27, 2026 | Contribution — BTC 72.8%, GLD 27.2% | NAV 420.94 |
| May 13, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 422.17 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 395.99 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 390.42 |
| Apr 01, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 364.68 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 372.15 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 385.00 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 97.1%, BTC 2.9% | NAV 376.67 |
| Feb 04, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 379.43 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 390.65 |
| Jan 07, 2026 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 387.58 |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 386.03 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 385.14 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 377.71 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 387.38 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 96.7%, GLD 3.3% | NAV 393.08 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 385.44 |
| Oct 01, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 383.61 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 94.3%, GLD 5.7% | NAV 373.00 |
| Sep 03, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 96.7%, GLD 3.3% | NAV 360.49 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 86.6%, GLD 13.4% | NAV 356.03 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 87.5%, GLD 12.4% | NAV 357.49 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 89.0%, GLD 11.0% | NAV 358.66 |
| Jul 09, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 89.2%, GLD 10.8% | NAV 349.88 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 95.7%, GLD 4.3% | NAV 342.00 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 99.0%, GLD 1.0% | NAV 339.64 |
| May 28, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 332.86 |
| May 14, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 97.2%, GLD 2.9% | NAV 327.88 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 307.90 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 290.52 |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 297.59 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 300.47 |
| Mar 05, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 96.5%, GLD 3.5% | NAV 308.27 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 84.7%, GLD 15.3% | NAV 326.56 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 84.5%, GLD 15.5% | NAV 320.19 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 77.2%, GLD 22.8% | NAV 324.10 |
| Jan 08, 2025 | Contribution — QQQ 76.6%, GLD 23.4% | NAV 310.65 |
| Dec 25, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 69.9%, GLD 30.1% | NAV 317.89 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 75.2%, GLD 24.8% | NAV 321.19 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 77.5%, GLD 22.4% | NAV 306.89 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 71.4%, GLD 28.6% | NAV 304.82 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 96.0%, GLD 4.0% | NAV 291.72 |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 91.1%, GLD 8.9% | NAV 284.32 |
| Oct 02, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 276.15 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 94.0%, GLD 6.0% | NAV 270.54 |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 98.3%, GLD 1.7% | NAV 262.94 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 86.3%, GLD 13.7% | NAV 273.62 |
| Aug 07, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 249.09 |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 85.5%, GLD 14.4% | NAV 266.83 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 55.3%, GLD 44.7% | NAV 276.00 |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 62.8%, GLD 37.2% | NAV 268.05 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 70.5%, GLD 29.5% | NAV 271.16 |
| May 29, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 79.2%, GLD 20.8% | NAV 264.44 |
| May 15, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 85.6%, GLD 14.4% | NAV 263.31 |
| May 01, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 97.1%, GLD 2.9% | NAV 244.61 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 249.59 |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 86.2%, GLD 13.8% | NAV 257.24 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 76.6%, GLD 23.4% | NAV 256.76 |
| Mar 06, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 75.5%, GLD 24.5% | NAV 252.91 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 66.3%, GLD 33.7% | NAV 235.54 |
| Feb 07, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 52.6%, GLD 47.4% | NAV 232.85 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Contribution — GLD 62.1%, QQQ 37.9% | NAV 227.12 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Contribution — QQQ 66.2%, GLD 33.8% | NAV 225.61 |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 68.6%, GLD 31.4% | NAV 225.56 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 64.8%, GLD 35.2% | NAV 221.21 |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 79.9%, GLD 20.1% | NAV 212.83 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 65.3%, GLD 34.7% | NAV 209.58 |
| Nov 01, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 197.61 |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 194.12 |
| Oct 04, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 59.6%, GLD 40.4% | NAV 189.82 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 193.30 |
| Sep 06, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 45.8%, BTC 38.6%, QQQ 15.6% | NAV 195.64 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 51.4%, QQQ 48.6% | NAV 194.09 |
| Aug 09, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 59.6%, GLD 40.4% | NAV 195.97 |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 52.8%, QQQ 47.2% | NAV 200.53 |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 53.6%, QQQ 46.4% | NAV 199.28 |
| Jun 28, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 66.9%, QQQ 33.1% | NAV 195.02 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 100.0% | NAV 192.37 |
| May 31, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 85.1%, QQQ 14.9% | NAV 187.59 |
| May 17, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 50.6%, QQQ 49.4% | NAV 181.70 |
| May 03, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 85.3%, GLD 14.7% | NAV 178.62 |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 75.3%, GLD 24.7% | NAV 178.32 |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 85.8%, GLD 14.2% | NAV 177.19 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 92.3%, GLD 7.7% | NAV 171.97 |
| Mar 08, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 53.7%, GLD 46.3% | NAV 161.44 |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 67.0%, GLD 33.0% | NAV 162.37 |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Contribution — GLD 51.0%, QQQ 49.0% | NAV 165.99 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 161.04 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 151.54 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 142.57 |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 153.55 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 41.8%, BTC 34.3%, GLD 23.9% | NAV 154.88 |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Contribution — BTC 92.3%, QQQ 7.7% | NAV 151.56 |
| Nov 02, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 144.41 |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 145.27 |
| Oct 05, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 151.93 |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 87.9%, BTC 12.1% | NAV 150.42 |
| Sep 07, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 61.4%, BTC 38.6% | NAV 157.51 |
| Aug 24, 2022 | Contribution — BTC 59.0%, QQQ 41.0% | NAV 165.71 |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Contribution — GLD 57.5%, QQQ 33.0%, BTC 9.5% | NAV 172.32 |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Contribution — GLD 57.4%, QQQ 42.6% | NAV 163.43 |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Contribution — BTC 58.2%, QQQ 41.8% | NAV 153.51 |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Contribution — BTC 64.4%, QQQ 35.6% | NAV 154.31 |
| Jun 15, 2022 | Contribution — BTC 53.3%, QQQ 46.7% | NAV 155.69 |
| Jun 01, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 91.5%, BTC 8.5% | NAV 168.91 |
| May 18, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 99.2%, BTC 0.8% | NAV 162.07 |
| May 04, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 184.20 |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 191.00 |
| Apr 06, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 97.3%, GLD 2.7% | NAV 195.90 |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 195.66 |
| Mar 09, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 189.81 |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 183.22 |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 90.7%, GLD 9.3% | NAV 199.47 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 100.0% | NAV 186.46 |
| Jan 12, 2022 | Contribution — QQQ 81.6%, GLD 18.4% | NAV 206.50 |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 64.9%, GLD 35.1% | NAV 212.68 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 63.1%, GLD 36.9% | NAV 212.11 |
| Dec 01, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 70.3%, GLD 29.7% | NAV 214.09 |
| Nov 17, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 73.2%, GLD 26.8% | NAV 221.83 |
| Nov 03, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 67.5%, GLD 32.5% | NAV 220.06 |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 74.2%, GLD 25.8% | NAV 215.92 |
| Oct 06, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 77.3%, GLD 22.7% | NAV 202.64 |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 70.4%, GLD 29.6% | NAV 197.86 |
| Sep 08, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 65.1%, GLD 34.9% | NAV 204.04 |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 67.8%, GLD 32.2% | NAV 204.07 |
| Aug 11, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 65.1%, GLD 34.9% | NAV 197.79 |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 65.3%, GLD 34.7% | NAV 194.53 |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 57.7%, GLD 42.3% | NAV 188.39 |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 53.4%, GLD 46.6% | NAV 185.99 |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 68.3%, GLD 31.6% | NAV 184.92 |
| Jun 02, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 79.8%, GLD 20.2% | NAV 183.08 |
| May 19, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 82.7%, GLD 17.3% | NAV 178.07 |
| May 05, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 74.8%, GLD 25.1% | NAV 196.08 |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 71.6%, GLD 28.4% | NAV 196.80 |
| Apr 07, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 70.7%, GLD 29.3% | NAV 195.01 |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 74.5%, GLD 25.5% | NAV 185.16 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 74.4%, GLD 25.6% | NAV 187.65 |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 73.2%, GLD 26.8% | NAV 187.61 |
| Feb 10, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 71.1%, GLD 28.9% | NAV 186.63 |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 70.4%, GLD 29.6% | NAV 167.94 |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Contribution — QQQ 73.1%, GLD 26.9% | NAV 173.83 |
| Dec 30, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 75.0%, GLD 25.0% | NAV 164.82 |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 69.6%, GLD 30.4% | NAV 155.08 |
| Dec 02, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 60.2%, GLD 39.8% | NAV 150.51 |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 70.7%, GLD 29.3% | NAV 144.95 |
| Nov 04, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 72.6%, GLD 27.4% | NAV 140.13 |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 78.9%, GLD 21.1% | NAV 137.91 |
| Oct 07, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 52.5%, GLD 35.8%, BTC 11.7% | NAV 133.29 |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 79.2%, GLD 20.7%, BTC 0.1% | NAV 127.10 |
| Sep 09, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 75.2%, BTC 24.4%, GLD 0.4% | NAV 132.89 |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 51.9%, GLD 38.3%, BTC 9.9% | NAV 139.14 |
| Aug 12, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 61.0%, GLD 39.0% | NAV 131.85 |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 98.3%, GLD 1.7% | NAV 127.96 |
| Jul 15, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 60.7%, GLD 23.4%, BTC 15.9% | NAV 123.62 |
| Jul 01, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 63.8%, GLD 19.2%, BTC 17.1% | NAV 119.65 |
| Jun 17, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 63.6%, GLD 21.0%, BTC 15.4% | NAV 117.07 |
| Jun 03, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 60.7%, GLD 30.3%, BTC 9.0% | NAV 114.51 |
| May 20, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 73.5%, GLD 26.5% | NAV 113.23 |
| May 06, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 70.8%, GLD 29.1% | NAV 107.91 |
| Apr 22, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 64.9%, GLD 19.5%, BTC 15.6% | NAV 102.44 |
| Apr 08, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 63.1%, GLD 27.7%, BTC 9.2% | NAV 98.26 |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 70.3%, BTC 15.0%, GLD 14.6% | NAV 90.62 |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 76.7%, GLD 12.2%, BTC 11.2% | NAV 96.95 |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 75.0%, BTC 13.7%, GLD 11.3% | NAV 105.28 |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 68.4%, GLD 23.4%, BTC 8.2% | NAV 111.88 |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 70.9%, GLD 20.0%, BTC 9.1% | NAV 106.66 |
| Jan 15, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 71.2%, GLD 20.5%, BTC 8.3% | NAV 105.23 |
| Jan 01, 2020 | Contribution — QQQ 70.0%, GLD 20.0%, BTC 10.0% | NAV 100.00 |