Work in progress: ConsensusAlpha is in active development. Books now track every captured video back to Jan 1, 2020 — the full-history backfill is complete — and methodology and records may still be re-baselined as it matures.

Model Portfolio

A mechanical example of sensible investing, funded like a paycheck: every two weeks the same contribution splits toward whatever sits furthest below target — 70% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ), 20% gold, 10% bitcoin. Nothing is ever sold; rebalancing happens by where the new money flows. No discretion, no timing, no stock picks. Every purchase is recorded in the ledger below when it happens and never rewritten.

There used to be a fourth sleeve here: 35% followed the picker consensus. We measured it against these three sleeves alone over the full 2020–present record — same dollars, same days — and the picks only subtracted. So they're gone, and that measurement is the point of this page: the pickers we track have all trailed the index too. Structure did the work; picks never did.

Make it yours: set your own start date and see the exact portfolio — and the exact paycheck split — for someone who started when you did.

Holdings

Holdings
Asset Target Actual Mark
QQQ 70.0% 69.6% $725.61
GLD 20.0% 19.0% $373.51
BTC 10.0% 11.4% $79,780.84

Performance

The value of one unit, starting at 100 — biweekly contributions buy units at the going rate, so flows can't flatter the chart. This measures the strategy itself, independent of when the money arrived, and is the basis comparable to the picker books and the index cards. History left of the amber line is a simulation from price history; right of it, every point has been recorded live since Oct 14, 2026. Contributing since Jan 01, 2020 — the same start date every book on the site uses — and benchmarks measured from that date. Price returns, excluding dividends on both sides. Hypothetical; excludes fees and taxes.

Since inception
+316.0%
S&P 500 (SPY)
+139.9%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+241.3%
Growth of 100
This book S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
today
Year by year
Year This plan S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
2026 YTD +9.8% +13.3% +18.1%
2025 +23.3% +16.4% +20.2%
2024 +37.4% +23.3% +24.8%
2023 +54.0% +24.3% +53.8%
2022 -31.4% -19.5% -33.1%
2021 +28.1% +27.0% +26.8%
2020 +65.3% +16.2% +47.6%

Time-weighted calendar-year returns for one unit, beside the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 over the identical windows. The current year is year-to-date. Price returns, excluding dividends; hypothetical, excludes fees and taxes.

Event ledger (179)

Append-only. Every contribution and exit, recorded when it happened — never revised.

Oct 28, 2026 Contribution — GLD 62.3%, QQQ 37.7% NAV 414.50
Oct 14, 2026 Contribution — GLD 72.0%, QQQ 28.0% NAV 427.04
Sep 30, 2026 Contribution — GLD 70.6%, QQQ 29.4% NAV 425.81
Sep 16, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 86.2%, GLD 13.8% NAV 408.95
Sep 02, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 413.79
Aug 19, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 414.18
Aug 05, 2026 Contribution — BTC 78.0%, GLD 22.0% NAV 409.08
Jul 22, 2026 Contribution — GLD 57.8%, BTC 42.2% NAV 400.69
Jul 08, 2026 Contribution — BTC 58.7%, GLD 41.3% NAV 399.91
Jun 24, 2026 Contribution — BTC 53.5%, GLD 46.5% NAV 397.08
Jun 10, 2026 Contribution — BTC 74.8%, GLD 25.2% NAV 392.29
May 27, 2026 Contribution — BTC 72.8%, GLD 27.2% NAV 420.94
May 13, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 422.17
Apr 29, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 395.99
Apr 15, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 390.42
Apr 01, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 364.68
Mar 18, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 372.15
Mar 04, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 385.00
Feb 18, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 97.1%, BTC 2.9% NAV 376.67
Feb 04, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 379.43
Jan 21, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 390.65
Jan 07, 2026 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 387.58
Dec 24, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 386.03
Dec 10, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 385.14
Nov 26, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 377.71
Nov 12, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 387.38
Oct 29, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 96.7%, GLD 3.3% NAV 393.08
Oct 15, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 385.44
Oct 01, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 383.61
Sep 17, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 94.3%, GLD 5.7% NAV 373.00
Sep 03, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 96.7%, GLD 3.3% NAV 360.49
Aug 20, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 86.6%, GLD 13.4% NAV 356.03
Aug 06, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 87.5%, GLD 12.4% NAV 357.49
Jul 23, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 89.0%, GLD 11.0% NAV 358.66
Jul 09, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 89.2%, GLD 10.8% NAV 349.88
Jun 25, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 95.7%, GLD 4.3% NAV 342.00
Jun 11, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 99.0%, GLD 1.0% NAV 339.64
May 28, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 332.86
May 14, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 97.2%, GLD 2.9% NAV 327.88
Apr 30, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 307.90
Apr 16, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 290.52
Apr 02, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 297.59
Mar 19, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 300.47
Mar 05, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 96.5%, GLD 3.5% NAV 308.27
Feb 19, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 84.7%, GLD 15.3% NAV 326.56
Feb 05, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 84.5%, GLD 15.5% NAV 320.19
Jan 22, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 77.2%, GLD 22.8% NAV 324.10
Jan 08, 2025 Contribution — QQQ 76.6%, GLD 23.4% NAV 310.65
Dec 25, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 69.9%, GLD 30.1% NAV 317.89
Dec 11, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 75.2%, GLD 24.8% NAV 321.19
Nov 27, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 77.5%, GLD 22.4% NAV 306.89
Nov 13, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 71.4%, GLD 28.6% NAV 304.82
Oct 30, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 96.0%, GLD 4.0% NAV 291.72
Oct 16, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 91.1%, GLD 8.9% NAV 284.32
Oct 02, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 276.15
Sep 18, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 94.0%, GLD 6.0% NAV 270.54
Sep 04, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 98.3%, GLD 1.7% NAV 262.94
Aug 21, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 86.3%, GLD 13.7% NAV 273.62
Aug 07, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 249.09
Jul 24, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 85.5%, GLD 14.4% NAV 266.83
Jul 10, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 55.3%, GLD 44.7% NAV 276.00
Jun 26, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 62.8%, GLD 37.2% NAV 268.05
Jun 12, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 70.5%, GLD 29.5% NAV 271.16
May 29, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 79.2%, GLD 20.8% NAV 264.44
May 15, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 85.6%, GLD 14.4% NAV 263.31
May 01, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 97.1%, GLD 2.9% NAV 244.61
Apr 17, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 249.59
Apr 03, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 86.2%, GLD 13.8% NAV 257.24
Mar 20, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 76.6%, GLD 23.4% NAV 256.76
Mar 06, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 75.5%, GLD 24.5% NAV 252.91
Feb 21, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 66.3%, GLD 33.7% NAV 235.54
Feb 07, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 52.6%, GLD 47.4% NAV 232.85
Jan 24, 2024 Contribution — GLD 62.1%, QQQ 37.9% NAV 227.12
Jan 10, 2024 Contribution — QQQ 66.2%, GLD 33.8% NAV 225.61
Dec 27, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 68.6%, GLD 31.4% NAV 225.56
Dec 13, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 64.8%, GLD 35.2% NAV 221.21
Nov 29, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 79.9%, GLD 20.1% NAV 212.83
Nov 15, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 65.3%, GLD 34.7% NAV 209.58
Nov 01, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 197.61
Oct 18, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 194.12
Oct 04, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 59.6%, GLD 40.4% NAV 189.82
Sep 20, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 193.30
Sep 06, 2023 Contribution — GLD 45.8%, BTC 38.6%, QQQ 15.6% NAV 195.64
Aug 23, 2023 Contribution — GLD 51.4%, QQQ 48.6% NAV 194.09
Aug 09, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 59.6%, GLD 40.4% NAV 195.97
Jul 26, 2023 Contribution — GLD 52.8%, QQQ 47.2% NAV 200.53
Jul 12, 2023 Contribution — GLD 53.6%, QQQ 46.4% NAV 199.28
Jun 28, 2023 Contribution — GLD 66.9%, QQQ 33.1% NAV 195.02
Jun 14, 2023 Contribution — GLD 100.0% NAV 192.37
May 31, 2023 Contribution — GLD 85.1%, QQQ 14.9% NAV 187.59
May 17, 2023 Contribution — GLD 50.6%, QQQ 49.4% NAV 181.70
May 03, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 85.3%, GLD 14.7% NAV 178.62
Apr 19, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 75.3%, GLD 24.7% NAV 178.32
Apr 05, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 85.8%, GLD 14.2% NAV 177.19
Mar 22, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 92.3%, GLD 7.7% NAV 171.97
Mar 08, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 53.7%, GLD 46.3% NAV 161.44
Feb 22, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 67.0%, GLD 33.0% NAV 162.37
Feb 08, 2023 Contribution — GLD 51.0%, QQQ 49.0% NAV 165.99
Jan 25, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 161.04
Jan 11, 2023 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 151.54
Dec 28, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 142.57
Dec 14, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 153.55
Nov 30, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 41.8%, BTC 34.3%, GLD 23.9% NAV 154.88
Nov 16, 2022 Contribution — BTC 92.3%, QQQ 7.7% NAV 151.56
Nov 02, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 144.41
Oct 19, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 145.27
Oct 05, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 151.93
Sep 21, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 87.9%, BTC 12.1% NAV 150.42
Sep 07, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 61.4%, BTC 38.6% NAV 157.51
Aug 24, 2022 Contribution — BTC 59.0%, QQQ 41.0% NAV 165.71
Aug 10, 2022 Contribution — GLD 57.5%, QQQ 33.0%, BTC 9.5% NAV 172.32
Jul 27, 2022 Contribution — GLD 57.4%, QQQ 42.6% NAV 163.43
Jul 13, 2022 Contribution — BTC 58.2%, QQQ 41.8% NAV 153.51
Jun 29, 2022 Contribution — BTC 64.4%, QQQ 35.6% NAV 154.31
Jun 15, 2022 Contribution — BTC 53.3%, QQQ 46.7% NAV 155.69
Jun 01, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 91.5%, BTC 8.5% NAV 168.91
May 18, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 99.2%, BTC 0.8% NAV 162.07
May 04, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 184.20
Apr 20, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 191.00
Apr 06, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 97.3%, GLD 2.7% NAV 195.90
Mar 23, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 195.66
Mar 09, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 189.81
Feb 23, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 183.22
Feb 09, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 90.7%, GLD 9.3% NAV 199.47
Jan 26, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 100.0% NAV 186.46
Jan 12, 2022 Contribution — QQQ 81.6%, GLD 18.4% NAV 206.50
Dec 29, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 64.9%, GLD 35.1% NAV 212.68
Dec 15, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 63.1%, GLD 36.9% NAV 212.11
Dec 01, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 70.3%, GLD 29.7% NAV 214.09
Nov 17, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 73.2%, GLD 26.8% NAV 221.83
Nov 03, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 67.5%, GLD 32.5% NAV 220.06
Oct 20, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 74.2%, GLD 25.8% NAV 215.92
Oct 06, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 77.3%, GLD 22.7% NAV 202.64
Sep 22, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 70.4%, GLD 29.6% NAV 197.86
Sep 08, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 65.1%, GLD 34.9% NAV 204.04
Aug 25, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 67.8%, GLD 32.2% NAV 204.07
Aug 11, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 65.1%, GLD 34.9% NAV 197.79
Jul 28, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 65.3%, GLD 34.7% NAV 194.53
Jul 14, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 57.7%, GLD 42.3% NAV 188.39
Jun 30, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 53.4%, GLD 46.6% NAV 185.99
Jun 16, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 68.3%, GLD 31.6% NAV 184.92
Jun 02, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 79.8%, GLD 20.2% NAV 183.08
May 19, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 82.7%, GLD 17.3% NAV 178.07
May 05, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 74.8%, GLD 25.1% NAV 196.08
Apr 21, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 71.6%, GLD 28.4% NAV 196.80
Apr 07, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 70.7%, GLD 29.3% NAV 195.01
Mar 24, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 74.5%, GLD 25.5% NAV 185.16
Mar 10, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 74.4%, GLD 25.6% NAV 187.65
Feb 24, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 73.2%, GLD 26.8% NAV 187.61
Feb 10, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 71.1%, GLD 28.9% NAV 186.63
Jan 27, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 70.4%, GLD 29.6% NAV 167.94
Jan 13, 2021 Contribution — QQQ 73.1%, GLD 26.9% NAV 173.83
Dec 30, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 75.0%, GLD 25.0% NAV 164.82
Dec 16, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 69.6%, GLD 30.4% NAV 155.08
Dec 02, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 60.2%, GLD 39.8% NAV 150.51
Nov 18, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 70.7%, GLD 29.3% NAV 144.95
Nov 04, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 72.6%, GLD 27.4% NAV 140.13
Oct 21, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 78.9%, GLD 21.1% NAV 137.91
Oct 07, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 52.5%, GLD 35.8%, BTC 11.7% NAV 133.29
Sep 23, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 79.2%, GLD 20.7%, BTC 0.1% NAV 127.10
Sep 09, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 75.2%, BTC 24.4%, GLD 0.4% NAV 132.89
Aug 26, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 51.9%, GLD 38.3%, BTC 9.9% NAV 139.14
Aug 12, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 61.0%, GLD 39.0% NAV 131.85
Jul 29, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 98.3%, GLD 1.7% NAV 127.96
Jul 15, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 60.7%, GLD 23.4%, BTC 15.9% NAV 123.62
Jul 01, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 63.8%, GLD 19.2%, BTC 17.1% NAV 119.65
Jun 17, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 63.6%, GLD 21.0%, BTC 15.4% NAV 117.07
Jun 03, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 60.7%, GLD 30.3%, BTC 9.0% NAV 114.51
May 20, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 73.5%, GLD 26.5% NAV 113.23
May 06, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 70.8%, GLD 29.1% NAV 107.91
Apr 22, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 64.9%, GLD 19.5%, BTC 15.6% NAV 102.44
Apr 08, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 63.1%, GLD 27.7%, BTC 9.2% NAV 98.26
Mar 25, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 70.3%, BTC 15.0%, GLD 14.6% NAV 90.62
Mar 11, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 76.7%, GLD 12.2%, BTC 11.2% NAV 96.95
Feb 26, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 75.0%, BTC 13.7%, GLD 11.3% NAV 105.28
Feb 12, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 68.4%, GLD 23.4%, BTC 8.2% NAV 111.88
Jan 29, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 70.9%, GLD 20.0%, BTC 9.1% NAV 106.66
Jan 15, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 71.2%, GLD 20.5%, BTC 8.3% NAV 105.23
Jan 01, 2020 Contribution — QQQ 70.0%, GLD 20.0%, BTC 10.0% NAV 100.00