Everything Money
Return
+2.3%
Hit rate
50%
Open calls
33
Closed
3
Open calls
| Ticker | Called | Entry | Now | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HD | Jan 15, 2026 | $379.16 | $336.09 | -11.4% |
| On list of 30 companies they would like to own forever | ||||
| ADBE | Jul 20, 2026 | $234.74 | $237.75 | +1.3% |
| Finds enough margin of safety at ~$222; 24% projected return on middle assumptions. | ||||
| BABA | Jan 26, 2026 | $171.37 | $115.00 | -32.9% |
| Even being up 81% from a long-term perspective, is still a reasonable buy today | ||||
| BLDR | Apr 20, 2026 | $91.32 | $72.72 | -20.4% |
| Outright purchased shares and running puts simultaneously. | ||||
| IWM | Jun 29, 2026 | $298.97 | $292.91 | -2.0% |
| Today looks like 2000 not 2009; if history rhymes, Russell 2000 beats S&P for the next 10 years from expensive starting valuations | ||||
| LUV | Jul 13, 2026 | $47.92 | $45.38 | -5.3% |
| 50+ years profitable except COVID year; the one airline stock they own. | ||||
| PYPL | Jul 16, 2026 | $56.73 | $56.07 | -1.2% |
| Screaming deal at ~$54; cheap multiples, massive FCF, aggressive buybacks, and OpenAI partnership. | ||||
| INTU | Mar 02, 2026 | $419.06 | $303.91 | -27.5% |
| Down 42% YTD due to fear of AI disrupting TurboTax/QuickBooks, but it's a wide moat business going through a valuation reset because of fear. | ||||
| META | Feb 21, 2026 | $655.66 | $593.87 | -9.4% |
| Separating price from value; 3.5 billion monthly users, growing revenue, massive free cash flow, and a single-digit PE. | ||||
| MSFT | Jul 09, 2026 | $384.36 | $389.10 | +1.2% |
| Selling cash-secured put at $345 strike; 27% OpenAI stake not reflected in price, DCF middle-case $550 fair value. | ||||
| NVDA | Jul 14, 2026 | $211.80 | $196.51 | -7.2% |
| Requires a 15% minimum return to swing at the big fat pitches; advises waiting for a larger margin of safety before buying. | ||||
| SCHD | Jan 22, 2026 | $29.17 | $33.43 | +14.6% |
| The one they are buying consistently right now; laser focused on high-quality dividend paying companies | ||||
| TGT | Jan 02, 2026 | $100.51 | $140.34 | +39.6% |
| Selling for less than 15x free cash flow, less than 12x earnings, with good returns on capital and a strong customer base. | ||||
| ULTA | Jan 03, 2026 | $620.04 | $480.51 | -22.5% |
| Beauty is one of the most resilient areas of consumer spending. Ulta dominates that category with 44 million loyalty members and 22% ROIC. | ||||
| VO | Jan 22, 2026 | $75.05 | $81.01 | +7.9% |
| First ETF they'd buy if starting over today; tracks 500 largest US companies for 0.03% expense ratio | ||||
| VTWO | Jun 29, 2026 | $120.86 | $118.42 | -2.0% |
| Low-fee Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF that does the same job as IWM for a very low fee | ||||
| CRM | Jul 13, 2026 | $171.22 | $173.60 | +1.4% |
| 10x FCF; management bought back ~$27B in a single quarter; FCF $14.5B last year vs $9.6B 5-yr avg. | ||||
| NKE | Mar 12, 2026 | $54.13 | $42.14 | -22.1% |
| SFM | Apr 06, 2026 | $77.43 | $76.84 | -0.8% |
| Picker wants to be more aggressive about buying shares. | ||||
| SPY | Jan 22, 2026 | $688.98 | $739.09 | +7.3% |
| Other option that does the same thing as VO | ||||
| UBER | Jul 09, 2026 | $74.35 | $68.18 | -8.3% |
| Selling cash-secured put at $65 strike to earn income while waiting; would be happy owning Uber at $65, DCF middle-case $150 fair value. | ||||
| VOO | Mar 30, 2026 | $580.93 | $679.31 | +16.9% |
| Stick to your schedule—daily, weekly, monthly—just keep doing it regardless of news | ||||
| DIS | Jul 20, 2026 | $96.41 | $96.65 | +0.2% |
| Owns shares; at ~$95 he projects 13% return on middle assumptions. | ||||
| NFLX | Jul 07, 2026 | $76.18 | $70.40 | -7.6% |
| Requires a 15% annualized return; current price of ~$74 is fair but does not offer an appropriate margin of safety. | ||||
| INTC | Mar 09, 2026 | $45.58 | $91.67 | +101.1% |
| Long-term turnaround play driven by Lip Bu-Tan's cost discipline, $9B US government backing, $5B Nvidia investment, and successful Panther Lake/18A manufacturing process launch. | ||||
| ABNB | Apr 16, 2026 | $137.81 | $146.86 | +6.6% |
| Has cash secured puts to buy at lower prices due to strong free cash flow, high gross margin, and 30% return on capital. | ||||
| AMZN | Jan 12, 2026 | $246.47 | $231.39 | -6.1% |
| Combination of scale, strong cash flow, and steady growth makes it an attractive opportunity today. | ||||
| AVGO | Mar 23, 2026 | $322.51 | $383.22 | +18.8% |
| It makes sense. It would work. It's a lot, but it works. | ||||
| AXP | Jan 19, 2026 | $364.79 | $335.39 | -8.1% |
| Owns American Express but notes they've owned it at a much lower price. | ||||
| BTI | Mar 05, 2026 | $58.59 | $60.82 | +3.8% |
| Owns at a cost basis in the high 20s/low 30s; views it as a boring cash-generating machine the market ignores. | ||||
| PAYC | Apr 20, 2026 | $132.98 | $151.30 | +13.8% |
| Selling cash-secured puts at strike $100. | ||||
| QQQ | Feb 14, 2026 | $601.92 | $682.12 | +13.3% |
| Expects the Nasdaq and tech to fall way harder than the S&P when the cycle turns, creating the best long-term opportunities. | ||||
| V | Mar 07, 2026 | $317.36 | $362.53 | +14.2% |
| Iran conflict doesn't change whether Visa processes transactions in the long run. | ||||
Closed calls
| Ticker | Called | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | Jul 09, 2026 | $631.48 | $672.97 | +6.6% |
| TSLA | Mar 12, 2026 | $395.01 | $445.00 | +12.7% |
| AAPL | Mar 07, 2026 | $257.46 | $251.49 | -2.3% |
Recent calls
hold
META conviction 8/10
I ran the numbers... and the math told me the market had it wrong. The core ad business keeps growing and AI spending is turning into a new revenue stream.
2026-07-27
· video
· target $850-$870
buy
NFLX
Fairly valued at ~$74 but fails to meet 15% required return. Target buy at $50 or sell puts at $55.
2026-07-07
· video
· target $50
hold
BABA conviction 9/10
Lost shares at $140 covered call before run to $190, but pulled back to $99. Strong 5-yr FCF ($21B/yr).
2026-07-02
· video
· target $186-$220
buy
PYPL conviction 9/10
Beaten down stock with strong FCF ($5.5B/year), 7.5x FCF multiple. Management buying back shares; new CEO.
2026-07-02
· video
· target $95-$105
buy
LUV conviction 9/10
Margin recovery story; expects margins to return to pre-COVID 10-15%. Hedging well, Starlink Wi-Fi partnership.
2026-07-02
· video
· target $130
buy
ADBE conviction 9/10
Down 44% on AI fears, but integrating AI and buying Topaz Labs. Revenue up 6 quarters, 36% ROC, 8x FCF.
2026-07-02
· video
· target $600
buy
ULTA conviction 8/10
Undervalued business with high returns on capital, consistent 10% profit margins, 16x FCF, and new Bath & Body Works partnership.
2026-07-02
· video
· target $610
buy
NKE conviction 7/10
Down 80% from peak, FCF dropped from $4.35B to $1B, but gross profit jumped to 49% as they stopped unloading inventory.
2026-07-02
· video
· target $65
buy
SFM conviction 7/10
Bought between $31-$33, sold cash-secured puts to acquire more shares after it fell. Expects 6-8% bottom line margins.
2026-07-02
· video
· target $125
hold
SPY
Shifting DCA away from S&P 500 toward Russell 2000 due to extreme valuations; buying S&P at 23x forward earnings historically yields -2% to +2% over 10 years
2026-06-29
· video
buy
VTWO conviction 8/10
Low-fee Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF that does the same job as IWM for a very low fee
2026-06-29
· video
buy
IWM conviction 9/10
Today looks like 2000 not 2009; if history rhymes, Russell 2000 beats S&P for the next 10 years from expensive starting valuations
2026-06-29
· video
hold
QQQ
Not adding now due to extreme valuations, but will absolutely add once QQQ falls hard and becomes reasonably priced
2026-06-29
· video
hold
hold
PYPL
Owns it; price has gone down since buying. Valuation shows 7x free cash flow, 46% gross profit, and 21.5% share buybacks.
2026-06-25
· video
buy
add
buy
MSFT
Selling cash-secured puts at $350 strike; likes 30% YoY cloud growth and $37B AI run rate.
2026-06-22
· video
buy
META
Selling cash-secured puts at $535 strike; DCF intrinsic value is $570, wants 16.8% return.
2026-06-22
· video
add
buy
META conviction 8/10
Writing put options to buy at a lower price; AI ad spend showing ROI, 82% gross margins, growth justifies premium.
2026-06-18
· video
hold
UBER
I like this business but want a discount; needs research on driverless car risk before buying.
2026-06-18
· video
· target $150
hold
NFLX
Valuation feels a little rich yielding 7.8% return; needs patience for a better entry point.
2026-06-18
· video
· target $74
hold
hold
CRWD
if analysts are correct… a stock that's worth what it's selling for today in 10 years.
2026-06-16
· video
hold
buy
CRM
Stock down >31% YTD but it is a highly sticky software leader generating massive free cash flow.
2026-06-15
· video
· target $355
hold
ADBE
I own Adobe; market's fear that AI will replace Adobe is overblown; revenue, profit, and FCF keep increasing.
2026-06-15
· video
buy
ULTA
Stock down >23% YTD but business is not broken; growing FCF, high returns on capital, consistent same-store sales growth.
2026-06-15
· video
· target $610
hold
INTC
owns shares; a portion was called away at ~$80 via covered calls; zero FOMO about that
2026-06-09
· video
hold
hold
hold
buy
INTU conviction 8/10
Uses QuickBooks daily, AI won't replace accounting software, mispriced due to bad narrative, 80% gross margins, $7.8B FCF, expects 18.5% return on middle assumptions
2026-06-08
· video
hold
AMZN
Incredible business but selling near fair value at $245 vs middle value $240; will wait for a correction to buy at a price that gives 15% return
2026-06-08
· video
hold
hold
INTC
Already owns the position but not buying at these levels, waiting for better prices.
2026-06-06
· video
add
BABA conviction 8/10
Long-term China play; rebuilding position via cash-secured puts after losing shares to covered calls.
2026-06-02
· video
· target $190-$224
hold
NOW
Not buying at current price because projected return is too low; waiting for a price that makes more sense.
2026-06-02
· video
hold
NVDA
Nvidia is the better buy relative to AMD based on analyzer returns, but 'I'm not buying this' — both stocks too expensive at current prices; people overpay for growth.
2026-05-28
· video
hold
AMD
Not buying — analyzer returns worse than Nvidia; trading at 148x earnings / 87x FCF means everything has to go perfectly right.
2026-05-28
· video
buy
UBER conviction 7/10
Q1 2026 saw 3.6B trips (+20% y/y), $53.7B gross bookings, $2.3B FCF; profit margin jumped to 15.9%.
2026-05-26
· video
· target $70
add
SCHD
Owns it for consistent capital growth and dividends (3.3% yield) to fund his lifestyle without taking undue risk.
2026-05-26
· video
buy
META conviction 8/10
Wants to own Meta at a discount; Q1 revenue $56.3B (+33% y/y), 41% operating margin, $48B FCF.
2026-05-26
· video
· target $575
buy
buy
PYPL conviction 8/10
One of the most undervalued stocks in the market right now, trading at roughly 6x free cash flow with aggressive share buybacks, new cost-cutting leadership, and unpriced growth initiatives.
2026-05-18
· video
· target $95-160
hold
INTC conviction 3/10
Bought at $17-$20 because he was adequately compensated for the risk, but now believes the valuation has run too far and it's still in mid-turnaround.
2026-05-18
· video
hold
MA
I'm going to hold steady here. But, I'm going to add it to my watch list at $400 per share.
2026-05-14
· video
buy
UBER
I want to buy the company at a lower price at a future date... I'm being patient and waiting for the right price and being paid along for that right price.
2026-05-14
· video
hold
PYPL
Explicitly owns PayPal, citing high free cash flow, aggressive share buybacks, 7.5x FCF valuation, and PE-to-growth ratio under 1
2026-05-12
· video
We track this picker's explicit on-camera calls faithfully — we don't endorse or judge them. Marks are hypothetical and exclude fees and taxes. Not financial advice.